Evolving risk assessment in marine insurance

29. August 2025

By: Samuel A. Markov, Director, ARM Services S.A., an IUMI Professional Partner.

The marine insurance sector is undergoing a significant transformation as it adapts to increasingly complex global risks and rapid technological change. Traditional risk assessment models—largely retrospective—are being replaced by dynamic, data-driven frameworks that enable real-time decision-making and proactive mitigation.

Dynamic risk modeling

Modern assessment integrates real-time data from vessel telemetry, cargo sensors, and environmental monitoring. These inputs feed into dynamic matrices that evaluate exposure across multiple dimensions: route volatility, port congestion, geopolitical instability, and weather anomalies. This shift enables underwriters to move beyond historical loss ratios toward predictive, scenario-based pricing.

Cyber and systemic risk

Digitalization has introduced systemic risks. Cyberattacks on port infrastructure and cargo tracking systems have escalated, making cyber risk a core underwriting concern. Insurers increasingly require robust cybersecurity protocols and incident response plans as part of coverage eligibility.

Technology as a risk mitigator

Technology also enhances resilience. Satellite imagery, IoT-enabled cargo monitoring, and AI-driven anomaly detection allow for continuous oversight of insured assets. These tools enable early detection of deviations—such as temperature excursions or unauthorized route changes—allowing for timely intervention and loss prevention.

From indemnification to prevention

Historically, marine insurance focused on indemnification—compensating losses after they occurred. Today, the industry is shifting toward prevention, driven by real-time data and advanced analytics. This transition reflects a strategic reallocation of resources toward proactive risk identification. Predictive models analyzing vessel behavior and cargo routing can flag high-risk scenarios, prompting interventions like route adjustments or enhanced security. This not only reduces loss frequency and severity but also aligns with broader goals of sustainability and operational efficiency. Risk management, in this context, becomes a value-generating function—transforming insurance from a reactive mechanism into a strategic enabler of safer maritime operations.

Regulatory and ESG pressures

Compliance with IMO decarbonization targets, ballast water protocols, and ESG disclosure requirements is now integral to risk profiling. Environmental and governance metrics are increasingly embedded in underwriting criteria, aligning risk selection with sustainability goals.

Conclusion

Marine insurers must now operate at the intersection of data science, regulatory compliance, and resilience. The integration of analytics, cyber frameworks, and ESG considerations into risk assessment marks a paradigm shift—one that demands agility, innovation, and discipline.